Essay · 15 min read
'Exhaust Fumes', or, Understanding Startup Valuations
Sajith Pai · Blume Ventures Free Intermediate India
Written by a partner at Blume Ventures, this is the India-specific version of exactly what we're telling founders: valuation is not a spreadsheet output, it is (in Fred Wilson's line the piece builds on) the exhaust fumes of a negotiation about two things, the amount raised and the dilution. It shows the real Indian seed math (a roughly 1 to 1.5M dollar cheque for a 15 to 20 percent stake, back-solving to a 5 to 7.5M dollar post-money) and why the VC sizes the round to get you to Series A, not to please your ego.
- Post-money is just cheque size divided by target stake: a 1M dollar cheque for 20 percent is a 5M dollar post-money, nothing more mystical
- Indian seed VCs anchor on a 15 to 20 percent target stake and a cheque sized to fund the runway to Series A
- The price falls out of the raise-and-dilution negotiation, so shaping those two levers matters more than arguing a valuation