Essay · 7 min read

The Letter of Intent Fallacy

Alice Bentinck · Entrepreneurs First Free Intermediate

Bentinck ran a talent investor and watched founders wave signed LOIs as proof, then watched those same customers walk. Her point is exactly the one you need before a pivot: a signature on a non-binding letter is a polite yes, not demand. She pushes you past the LOI theatre toward deep, named-customer commitment, which is the honest bar for betting the company.

  • A signed letter of intent is a proxy that customers routinely renege on, so treating it as traction is how founders fool themselves before a pivot
  • Real validation comes from time spent with named individuals: watching them work, touring their setup, understanding the pain well enough to predict what they will pay for
  • Collecting LOIs as your only customer development is a shortcut that skips the nuanced work of proving someone will actually buy

It answers 2 questions

  1. How do I know if I've truly validated the pivot before I bet the company on it?
  2. I keep getting warm interest and 'this is great' but no one pays. How do I turn the first yes into money?

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