Article

The Myth of First-Mover Advantage

ProductPlan Free Beginner

A clear summary of the Golder and Tellis research showing that pioneers failed far more often than fast followers who entered once the market was proven. It is the evidence based reality check against assuming that early always wins. Use it to hold your instinct to be first accountable to the data.

  • Classic research found market pioneers failed far more often than fast followers.
  • Fast followers learn from the pioneer's mistakes and enter at lower cost.
  • Being first is a burden about as often as it is an advantage.

It answers 2 questions

  1. Is it smarter to ride a trend that's clearly rising, or to bet on a trend that hasn't started yet?
  2. Is it smarter to enter a market while it's still forming, or wait until demand is obvious and proven?

Read with it

  1. The definitive essay on where good ideas come from: notice problems you personally have, don't force it. Use it as the lens for... paulgraham.com Essay · ~20 min read How to Get Startup Ideas Paul Graham
  2. The essay that put 'product-market fit' into the startup vocabulary. Read it for the gut-level description of what PMF feels... pmarchive.com Essay · ~15 min read The Only Thing That Matters Marc Andreessen
  3. The de facto global standard for pitch deck structure, straight from Sequoia. The same outline Airbnb's founders used; if you... Sequoia Capital Template · 10 min read Writing a Business Plan (The Sequoia Pitch Deck Template) Sequoia Capital
  4. The whole worry in your question, that slicing smaller leaves too few buyers, is exactly what Moore's target customer... HarperBusiness (Collins Business Essentials) Book · Approx. 256 pages Crossing the Chasm, 3rd Edition Geoffrey A. Moore
  5. The single best thing ever written on customer conversations. It teaches you to ask about the customer's life and past... momtestbook.com Book · ~130 pages The Mom Test Rob Fitzpatrick
  6. The definitive short read on why disruptive ideas get dismissed as toys, and why that dismissal is your opening. It reframes... cdixon.org Article · ~5 min read The Next Big Thing Will Start Out Looking Like a Toy Chris Dixon
eChai Partner Brands The partnership →