Newsletter · 14 min read
Why everyone's switching to AI credits
Kyle Poyar · Growth Unhinged Freemium Advanced
The margin defence most companies are actually reaching for. Poyar's number is the one to remember: roughly 70 to 80 percent of token consumption comes from about 10 percent of users, which is why a flat seat price on an AI product bleeds quietly.
- 70 to 80 percent of token consumption comes from about 10 percent of users, which is what breaks flat pricing.
- Microsoft, Salesforce, Cursor and OpenAI all moved to credit based models within months of each other.
- Model costs are not falling as promised: GPT-5 output is around 10 dollars per million tokens, close to GPT-4o in early 2024.
- Credits exist as a guardrail because AI gross margins are already thin, not because customers asked for them.