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1 resource from Fed-Spend we point founders to, and the questions each answers.

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Why we picked it This is the renewal craft with the numbers to back the whole thesis: it breaks down exactly why incumbents lose their seat at recompete (performance 34 percent, price 28 percent), which tells you precisely what to defend. Its 18-month capture timeline (shape requirements, build documented past-performance case studies, monitor the RFP) is the operating manual for making the re-tender yours to lose instead of a cold price fight.

Federal Contract Recompete: How to Win Expiring and Renewal Pipeline Contracts

From Fed-Spend by Fed-Spend Intelligence 15 min read

  • Incumbents most often lose on performance (34 percent) and price (28 percent), so the defense is clean delivery plus documented outcomes, not just matching the cheaper bid
  • Renewal is won 12 to 18 months out by shaping the requirement and building quotable past-performance case studies, long before the RFP drops
  • Challengers win 38 percent of recompetes versus 12 percent of net-new bids, so treat every renewal as actively contested and capture early
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