Article · ~8 min read

The Law of Shitty Clickthroughs

Andrew Chen · andrewchen.com Free Intermediate

The definitive explanation of why every marketing channel decays over time, from an a16z general partner who wrote 650+ essays on growth.

  • Over time, all marketing channels drift toward terrible click-through rates.
  • Banner CTR fell ~1500x from 1994 to 2011 as novelty and arbitrage disappeared.
  • Win by refreshing creative and finding the next under-priced channel early.

It answers 2 questions

  1. Should I even be running paid ads at this stage?
  2. Why did my marketing channel stop working after a few months?

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