Article · ~7 min read

How to Conduct a Premortem

Stephen Lynch · stephenlynch.net Free Beginner

This is the scheduled brutal-honesty ritual, made concrete enough to actually run. You book a 60 to 90 minute session, tell the room to imagine the project has already failed three months from now, everyone silently writes the worst-case reasons, then reads them aloud starting with the most junior person. It manufactures the operator voice on a calendar slot so honesty stops depending on mood, then you close the laptop and go be the believer again.

  • Assume failure has already happened and work backwards. Imagining the corpse surfaces risks that optimistic forward planning quietly skips.
  • Silent individual writing before discussion, junior voices first, so the loudest optimist in the room does not set the tone.
  • Due dates become commits, not hopes. The ritual forces conservative, believed-in numbers instead of the ones that sound good in a pitch.

The question it answers

  1. How do I hold two opposite beliefs at once: relentless optimism to sell, and brutal honesty about the numbers?

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