Report · 12 min read

Refine Labs Study Confirms Measurement Gap in Software-Based Attribution & Releases Hybrid Attribution Framework

Refine Labs Free Advanced

The single most quotable attribution finding we know of: across 620 declared-intent conversions and 21.5 million dollars of closed-won revenue, self-reported data credited podcasts with 53 percent of revenue and the software credited them with 0 percent.

  • Over 12 months, 620 declared-intent conversions and $21.5M in closed-won ARR showed a 90 percent gap between software attribution and what buyers said.
  • Self-reported attribution gave podcasts 53 percent of revenue ($11.4M); software attribution gave them 0 percent.
  • The fix is hybrid: ask buyers directly on the form and reconcile that against software, since dark social never shows up in the tool.
  • Its main use is showing executives that demand creation has business value, not just demand capture.

The question it answers

  1. Marketing says it sourced the pipeline, sales says it did not. How do I do attribution without fooling myself?

Read with it

  1. Shopify's performance marketing lead on channel order (Google search first, LinkedIn reserved for tight B2B targeting because... Lenny's Newsletter Podcast · 75 min listen The ultimate guide to performance marketing Timothy Davis with Lenny Rachitsky
  2. The other half of the answer: how to actually find out whether a channel caused anything, using holdouts, geo tests and lift... Supermetrics Article · 16 min read Incrementality Testing: The Only Guide You Need Olivia Kory and Erkki Paunonen
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