Bits or Pieces? (Simon Wardley)

Why we picked it Wardley shows how every component evolves from genesis to commodity, and that this direction is predictable even when the timing is not. Mapping where a technology sits on that axis helps you see whether it is still novel or steadily commoditising. It is more effortful than most items here, but it gives you an actual map instead of a metaphor.

On Mapping and the Evolution Axis

From Bits or Pieces? (Simon Wardley) by Simon Wardley ~15 min read

• Components evolve predictably from novel genesis toward commodity.
• The direction of evolution is knowable even when timing is not.
• Map where a technology sits before betting on it.