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The Law of Shitty Clickthroughs

From andrewchen.com by Andrew Chen ~8 min read

Why we picked it

The definitive explanation of why every marketing channel decays over time, from an a16z general partner who wrote 650+ essays on growth.

  • Over time, all marketing channels drift toward terrible click-through rates.
  • Banner CTR fell ~1500x from 1994 to 2011 as novelty and arbitrage disappeared.
  • Win by refreshing creative and finding the next under-priced channel early.
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