How the best do it

How do the best companies replace ICP opinion with a scoring model built on their own data?

The short answer

They stop arguing about who the ideal customer should be and go and measure who it turned out to be. Pull your last fifty to a hundred closed won and closed lost accounts, define what good actually means for you (fast cycle, high retention, expansion, low support load) and look for the attributes that correlate with it, including the ones nobody expected. Then turn that into a score that lives as a field on every account in the CRM and actually routes work: who gets a rep, who gets a sequence, who gets nothing. The two things that separate a good model from a spreadsheet nobody opens are negative signals that subtract points, and a quarterly re-run, because your ICP is a regression on live data, not a slide from the seed round.

Go deeper, your way

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Why we picked it Kellogg's framing, that the ICP begins as a founder hypothesis and should end as a regression on renewal, expansion and win rate, is the whole argument for data over opinion in one sentence. He also makes you define what best means before you model anything.

Your ICP Starts as an Aspiration and Becomes a Regression

From Kellblog by Dave Kellogg 9 min read

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The same ground, at another level

How who you sell to reads from a different seat.

Terms in this answer

People also ask

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Also in Starting Up

The same ground, over in Understand your customers, our Starting Up track.

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